Member Question: What will be the effect of the changing interest rates just decided by the Fed? There’s a lot of talk whenever the Fed changes rates on how it will impact the overall economy. But how will this affect the real estate market?
Answer from the Boardroom: Generally, when the Fed adjusts interest rates it affects how banks and other lending institutions loan money for things like real estate. While there may not be a direct correlation between mortgage rates and the Fed’s discount rate, it does affect the bank’s willingness to lend money and at what rates.
If the Fed has a loose monetary policy, it will make more money available to banks at lower rates which can then be filtered into the economy in the way of loans for various things such as purchasing real property or financing business growth.
If the Fed raises rates, the lending institutions will still make money available to borrowers, but may tighten their lending requirements to borrowers by requiring more documentation on the borrower’s ability to repay the loan and charging a higher interest rate.
In a higher interest rate market, the debt service on real estate is greater and makes it more expensive to maintain a property. Cash flow can turn negative for investors if the debt service and maintenance costs exceed the property’s income from tenants.
A negative cash flow proprty is not a good investment. The only “positive” for a negative cash flow property is the hope of appreciation. As interest rates rise, generally less people can afford the monthly payments on a house, so property values may decrease. It will take longer to realize that “hoped for” appreciation, but historically, the appreciation will happen over the years. But be prepared to wait out the down times.